Flash Sale: $1,000 Off SB’26 ➧ Use Code AtdFlash1000SB26

The Sports Industry Is Planning for a Climate That No Longer Exists

The investment decisions being made today will outlast the tournament by fifty years. The climate scenarios informing them will not.

Miami's World Cup quarterfinal is projected to hit a wet bulb globe temperature of 91.4°F, well above the 82°F threshold at which FIFPRO says matches should be postponed. Ten out of the 16 sites of the 2026 FIFA World Cup are at very high risk of experiencing extreme heat stress conditions. Most of the pre tournament coverage is asking whether the matches can be played safely, whether kickoff times will hold, whether misting fans and cooling breaks get the players through. They are all important questions, but questions focused on the next six weeks.

A few years ago, the sustainability conversation around mega sporting events was about compliance and footprint. The work was to reduce emissions and hit the numbers FIFA wanted, and much of that work was necessary. It still is. But the conversation has moved, in part because hosting rights get awarded a decade before the climate conditions they have to operate in can be reassessed.

Stadiums designed five years ago are already operating under conditions they were not built to hold.

Research from MSCI ranked host venues by hazard exposure. AT&T Stadium and SoFi Stadium topped the list for heatwave risk. Levi's Stadium for rain induced flooding, Hard Rock Stadium for lightning, Lincoln Financial Field for subsidence, the slow sinking of ground beneath the building.

Separate analysis from Climate X puts potential cumulative losses facing NFL stadiums at up to $11 billion by 2050. The climate these assets are being built in will not be the climate they operate in over a fifty year lifespan. The harder question is whether the infrastructure being invested in right now is equipped for the climate it will actually live in.

The Planning Assumption Nobody Is Challenging

This is the context in which the 2026 World Cup arrives across the United States, Mexico and Canada. Most current planning is focused on immediate operational challenges, with significant investment going into temporary infrastructure that lives for six weeks and then disappears. During the 2025 Club World Cup, four games exceeded the WBGT postponement threshold, and on one occasion Borussia Dortmund substitutes watched the first half from inside the locker room because the heat outside was too dangerous.

That work is real and necessary. It is also not the conversation that will shape what the 2026 World Cup actually leaves behind.

That conversation is beginning to surface. At an EarthX panel in Dallas, FIFA 26 head of environment Sarah Hussain told city officials that host venues can get better post tournament but said clear data is still the struggle. In Los Angeles, Edith de Guzman of ShadeLA told LAist that the 2026 tournament gives the city a chance to test things out and scale them ahead of 2028. The question is live, but the mechanism for turning stadium investment into lasting value for host communities is not yet in place.

The word legacy deserves scrutiny. Qatar 2022 built seven new stadiums and marketed each as a legacy asset. Three years on, several have been downsized, modified or underused. But the 2026 case is structurally different.

Most North American host venues already exist. They are working NFL, MLS and university facilities receiving tournament overlay, not new builds in search of a post tournament purpose. The question is what the tournament's operational spend leaves behind.

That spend, the hundreds of millions being channeled into stadium upgrades, either flows through to host communities or it does not. Mitigation asks how we host the event. Adaptation asks what the cities inherit. The industry has spent a decade on the first question and almost no time on the second. ** The Two Layers of Adaptation**

There are two distinct layers worth separating.

The first is immediate readiness. Schedule adjustments, cooling systems and player welfare protocols that keep the tournament playable. This is where most 2026 planning sits. Necessary and important, but short lived.

The second is designing infrastructure that keeps working for host communities after the tournament ends. Stadiums that function as cooling centres during heatwaves rather than heat islands radiating warmth into surrounding blocks. Emergency shelters during natural disasters. Green infrastructure that mitigates urban heat and manages stormwater.

Water systems built for a future where, according to the World Economic Forum, nearly 90 percent of 2026 host stadiums will require adaptation measures and one third will see water demand meet or exceed supply by 2050.

There is precedent. The NFL and FEMA launched a national strategy in 2024 to designate venues as Mission Ready Locations during disasters. MetLife Stadium, a 2026 host, is one of them. These buildings were designed to hold tens of thousands of people in climate controlled conditions, already wired into the grid and road network. In most host cities they are the strongest piece of public infrastructure for miles.

Private capital is starting to see the same opportunity. In March 2026, Visa, Street Soccer USA and Bank of America announced the expansion of Visa Street Soccer Parks to all 11 US host cities. These are permanent community assets with learning centres attached. The street pitch outlives the tournament by decades. If that logic holds for a street pitch, it holds for a stadium.

What Paris Already Proved

The Paris 2024 Olympic Games triggered a €1.4 billion investment in stormwater and wastewater infrastructure to clean up the River Seine. A year later, sections of the river opened to public swimming for the first time in a century, and the Seine is now a climate resilient refuge during Parisian heatwaves. The tournament paid for something a city government could not otherwise have funded, and the city still has it.

Every dollar spent on a temporary misting station at the 2026 World Cup is a dollar that could have built a permanent cooling centre lasting thirty years. The Seine is the model.

The Playbook for 2030 and Beyond

The decisions being made now set the precedent for what comes after. The challenge gets harder when the World Cup moves to Morocco, Spain and Portugal in 2030 and to Saudi Arabia in 2034. In those regions climate exposure is worse and infrastructure need is larger. If 2026 establishes a playbook where adaptation means temporary operational fixes, future hosts will follow. If 2026 establishes a playbook where mega event investment produces permanent climate resilience for host communities, it redefines what the sports industry is capable of contributing.

Having worked across major sporting events I have had a front row seat to how infrastructure and investment decisions get made. What I never saw in those rooms was climate scenario planning. Every conversation was anchored to current conditions, as though the world these assets were being built for would be the world they operated in for the next fifty years. The climate is shifting faster than that assumption allows. The competitions being planned today need to be feasible in 2040 and 2050.

And beyond feasibility sits a larger question the industry has barely begun to ask: sport has the scale, the infrastructure and the community reach to help society adapt to climate effects faster. A World Cup stadium is built to stand for fifty to seventy years. The question is whether anyone is designing it for the climate it will actually live in.

Antonio Vizcaya is a sustainability consultant and university professor. He is also a LinkedIn creator and TEDx speaker, focused on helping organizations translate sustainability into practical business strategy.