2021 saw the rise — and fall — of excitement around net-zero commitments. A
record increase in the number of commitments by companies to reduce their
greenhouse gas emissions to zero via a combination of emission reductions and
carbon offsets was soon met with a skeptical backlash, as the scientific and
activist communities began to question how businesses would meaningfully reduce
their emissions enough to halt or slow climate change.
If 2021 was the year of net-zero backlash, 2022 could be the year of redemption
— but only if companies strengthen the rigor of their commitments.
All net-zero commitments are not made
equal.
Without a standard definition of what net zero means, companies have interpreted
the mandate in different ways.
As a result, too many net-zero commitments are relying too heavily on
offsetting
emissions,
rather than reducing them. A recent analysis from the
Net-Zero Tracker — a
global initiative that benchmarks net-zero commitments — found that almost 43
percent of the world’s largest 632 publicly traded companies plan to use carbon
credits as part of their climate strategy; and two-thirds of these companies do
not specify how they plan to use carbon credits.
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Carbon credits have a limited role to play in net-zero targets — the key to
achieving net-zero emissions is reducing emissions, not offsetting them.
Without a significant commitment to decarbonization, companies run the risk of
failing to achieve the “zero” part of net zero. Companies that claim net-zero
status by offsetting their emissions without fully decarbonizing compromise the
integrity of the net-zero
concept
and risk jeopardizing their reputation with a weak net-zero target.
Overreliance on carbon offsets isn’t the only pitfall of many current net-zero
commitments — many are not accompanied by interim targets. Companies are making
commitments to stop adding emissions to the atmosphere in 20 or 30 years, but
they haven’t set emission-reduction targets along the way. That creates the real
possibility that the significant emissions reductions needed would be delayed
until 2040 or 2050 — meaning that those reductions could come too late to avert
the worst of the
warming.
Another major issue is that some targets also exclude emissions from the
company’s value chain — or Scope 3
emissions
— leaving out the majority of emissions for many companies. And because there is
currently no standard for progress reporting, many more still lack
accountability on whether they are on track to reach any of their targets.
This spotlight on net-zero commitments has made the biggest problem with net
zero crystal clear — that there's never been an agreed-upon definition of what
net-zero emissions actually mean in practice.
But new guidance released at the end of 2021 can clear up confusion and pave the
way for net-zero integrity. With the release of the Science-Based Targets
initiative’s Net-Zero
Standard
last year, there is now alignment on what constitutes a valid net-zero
commitment. The Standard requires companies to set near- and long-term
science-based targets for cutting their emissions in line with keeping global
warming to under 1.5ºC and to include 90 percent of their scope 3 emissions in
their net-zero goal, addressing concerns around greenwashing. The Standard also
requires companies to achieve deep decarbonization of 90 to 95 percent before
2050, with the Ceres Roadmap calling on
companies to meet those goals by 2040.
If applied correctly, there is a role for carbon offsets in a corporate climate
strategy — supporting climate mitigation beyond a company’s value
chain
in addition to reducing emissions. Emerging research can guide companies in how
to use offsets in their commitments: the Ceres report, The Role of Natural Climate Solutions in Corporate Climate Commitments,
sets out to recommend disclosures on offsetting and opportunities for
investment,
and guidance about how to identify high-quality options can be found in the
Natural Climate Solution Alliance’s report, Natural Climate Solutions for Corporates.
Companies now have the guidance they need to deliver on the net-zero commitments
that are part of their core strategies for addressing the climate crisis. To
help them meet the urgency of the moment, Ceres last year launched Ambition
2030, an initiative focused on
decarbonizing entire sectors, starting with the six highest-polluting — banking,
electric power, food, steel,
transportation,
and oil and gas. The initiative is focused on generating ambitious and
transparent climate commitments and robust transition action plans — while also
holding companies accountable to achieving interim emissions-reduction targets.
In 2022, Ceres hopes to see strong commitments and action from key companies,
including addressing some of the common net-zero pitfalls.
2022 must be the year of authentic climate action — and for that to happen,
net-zero strategies must rise to their full potential as a tool to combat
climate change.
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Director, Food and Forests
Ceres
Published Jan 7, 2022 1pm EST / 10am PST / 6pm GMT / 7pm CET