This week, I was in New York for the UN Climate Action Summit, where
UN Secretary General António Guterres had asked world leaders to bring
concrete plans to make far deeper cuts to emissions than pledged in Paris
four years ago. But that ambition went largely unmet.
China and India made no new promises to take stronger climate action;
while the US, Japan, Australia, Saudi Arabia and Brazil said
nothing at
all. A group
of 13 of the world’s biggest fossil fuel companies also drew criticism for
putting forward proposals that
appeared
‘designed to perpetuate the use of oil and gas for decades to come, rather than
transition quickly to cleaner options.’
But while talk of energy, transport and
construction
filled the UN’s chamber on Monday, one sector which avoided the limelight was
animal agriculture. This is a problem, as the latest IPCC report
estimates that 25-30
percent
of all greenhouse gas emissions come from the food system. The need for action
by the animal agriculture sector was something that came through clearly in a
roundtable on biodiversity that FAIRR attended alongside the summit.
Demand side evidence is influencing governments
The IPCC’s Special Report on Climate Change and
Land
highlighted how a change in diet — from meat-heavy western diets towards more
plant-based foods — could make a major contribution to mitigating climate
change.
The Rise Foundation has said that Europe’s meat and dairy production
needs to be cut in
half
by 2050 to meet global climate targets. And governments have many policy tools
at their disposal — from public procurement to education, industrial strategy
and taxation — to encourage such behaviour change.
Indeed, some are already on this path, with politicians in Denmark, Sweden and
Germany
considering a ‘meat tax,’ such as that discussed in FAIRR’s Livestock
Levy
white paper in 2017.
Animal agriculture’s poor climate performance
On the supply side, there is much that food corporations can do to reduce their
carbon footprint, with the first step being to disclose their current emissions
and set targets to reduce them.
Last month, FAIRR launched the Coller FAIRR Protein Producer
Index, which analyses the world’s 60 largest
meat, fish and dairy producers’ management of sustainability risks. We found
that these companies scored an average of just 17 out of 100 on managing
greenhouse gas emissions, with few companies properly disclosing their emissions
or setting significant reduction targets.
The below graphic shows that only seven of the leading animal protein producers
have completed their emissions inventory to include on-farm processes such as
animal feed production and enteric fermentation. This is critical, as such
processes represent up to 80 percent of total emissions from livestock
production.
View full-sized version (p. 23)
The Coller FAIRR Index also revealed that only one meat or dairy company —
Tyson Foods — had set a science-based target to reduce its emissions in line with what is required by the Paris Agreement.
Interestingly, on the eve of this week’s summit, 59 companies — among them food
companies The Co-operative Group,
Danone and
Nestlé — signed up to a
science-based
target
aligned with the most ambitious Paris benchmark of limiting global temperature
rise to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
Given the size of food’s contribution to greenhouse gas emissions, this is
certainly a welcome development. But our Index shows that these consumer-facing
brands will have to work hard to meet their targets, given the lack of climate
engagement among many of their suppliers.
The promise of alternative proteins
To reduce supply chain emissions, global food companies will need to reduce
their reliance on fertilisers to grow feed, as well as invest in feed
additives
(that reduce methane from enteric fermentation) and manure management systems to
capture emissions.
But no major food manufacturer or retailer has yet been able to demonstrate
measurable climate progress through supply chain interventions alone. By
contrast, by diversifying product portfolios into alternative proteins — thereby
reducing reliance on GHG-intensive commodities such as meat and dairy —
companies can have an immediate impact.
In 2019, for example, General Mills reported that it decreased GHG emissions
from agriculture by 17 percent versus its 2010 baseline, primarily due to
reduced purchases of dairy. Similarly, a life-cycle
assessment
by Impossible Foods has found that production of its plant-based
Impossible Burger produces 89 percent less GHG emissions than a conventional
beef burger.
Both Danone and Nestlé are embracing alternative proteins as part of their
strategy to meet their science-based targets: Danone has made capital
investments in two research centres focused on plant-based proteins; and in
January 2019, it launched a new range of plant-based yoghurts. Danone’s
CEO
expects sales of these products to match the value of the company’s traditional,
dairy-based offerings within 10 years.
Our July 2019 Appetite for
Disruption
report identified Nestlé as one of the leaders in alternative proteins; it has
acquired several plant-based brands and launched new alternative protein
products, with its Incredible
Burger
now being trialled by McDonald’s in Germany.
An interesting report from technology think tank
RethinkX
last month highlighted how the cost of producing alternative proteins is
dropping rapidly. It says the cost of producing a kilogram of alternative
protein will fall below $10 per kilo by 2025, making these proteins five times
cheaper than traditional animal proteins by 2030 and 10 times cheaper by 2035.
The market is certainly excited about the potential for impressive returns, as
well as stirred by the speeches from the likes of Greta Thunberg. Let’s hope
that enables governments, businesses and investors to truly grasp the
possibilities of food system transformation as a core component of their
climate-mitigation strategies.
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Published Sep 27, 2019 8am EDT / 5am PDT / 1pm BST / 2pm CEST